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From a psychological point of view, being "conservative" here is probably a good thing because it may actually eliminate an optimistic bias that naturally comes from being a fan. Furthermore, judgments about the chances of landing recruits still on the board tend to become more positive after a pleasant surprise such as Givens committing; similarly judgments tend to become more pessimistic after bad news such as the Gateway kids having no interest in PSU. Just go to the Audibles message board to see wild extremes of both.
So to an unbiased outside observer these estimates probably look objective. Keep it up!
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